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Predicted race time accuracy

caferey over 4 years ago

I know it’s early days, but are the new times more accurate now as they take in your current training volume?

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PatrickNSF over 4 years ago +3 verified

My marathon estimate went down from a 3:11 to a 3:32 with a 52 VO2 Max. It has been as high a 3:05.

I just ran a 3:24 two weeks a ago (and am on my second easy week). So it appears to be closer to what…
kehanra99 over 4 years ago +3 verified

I just ran a 20:30 5k and my race predictor show's over 24 minutes. It's only been a week since I started using it, hopefully it'll get better with more data.
chunkywizard over 4 years ago +1 verified

I don’t know if it will get more accurate but at the moment the times are already better than last generation watches. Ie Inhave a chance of getting close t9 the times!

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+1 chunkywizard over 4 years ago

I don’t know if it will get more accurate but at the moment the times are already better than last generation watches. Ie Inhave a chance of getting close t9 the times!

+1 PatrickNSF over 4 years ago

My marathon estimate went down from a 3:11 to a 3:32 with a 52 VO2 Max. It has been as high a 3:05.

I just ran a 3:24 two weeks a ago (and am on my second easy week). So it appears to be closer to what I’m capable of, at least at this early stage.

+1 chrisdr2 over 4 years ago

The times seem much more doable then previous watches. I am off running with runners knee right now, and note that the estimates have started to extend. This makes sense as I am losing fitness.

+1 kehanra99 over 4 years ago

I just ran a 20:30 5k and my race predictor show's over 24 minutes. It's only been a week since I started using it, hopefully it'll get better with more data.

0 caferey over 4 years ago in reply to kehanra99

Good to hear it’s more accurate and gives you a rough guide what to aim for.

0 felix1504tri over 4 years ago in reply to kehanra99

Did it get better? I have mine for a month now and it actually got worse... 1:30off at 5k, 5min off at 10k and 15min off at half

0 caferey over 4 years ago in reply to felix1504tri

Mine is much more accurate than on my old 235. Did a 10K on Sunday and got within 10 seconds of projected time. New 10K time is about 50 seconds faster than PR but HR time is about a min slower than my PR!

Is it very hot and or humid where you are now? Is your training volume much different to when you set your PRs? Any other factors you could think of?