Race prediction vs event prediction

When I go to race prediction it gives the 4 normal predictions as to what it believes I can do for each distance. When I go to my race widget(where I have my upcoming marathon listed) it says it predicts my time for that about 7 minutes faster than what it predicts my marathon time to be under Race Predictor. Has anybody else seen anything similar? The course is incredibly flat, could that be why?

0 Dr Phil over 1 year ago

HookerOnTheRun said:
The course is incredibly flat, could that be why?

Yes

0 Former Member over 1 year ago

The race prediction gives you predictions based on your current fitness status.

Maybe the race widget takes into account, that the race is in the future and that you will get fitter until then? (just a guess)

On the other hand: it would not be the first time, that values are not consistent. E.g. my VO2-Max and lactic threshold is different on my watch than in the Garmin Connect app (common bug which has been known for ages but which is not fixed by Garmin for whatever reason).