I do the same commute cycling multiple times per week. I use a Garmin 820 with a chest strap HRM. Over the last year or so I have had a consistent 400 active calorie burn (+/- about 20 calories depending on wind/loading/traffic lights etc.). Suddenly (the last month) I am now getting a consistent 220 calories for the same route at the same speed and approx the same heart rate range. This also isn’t a change from ‘total’ to ‘active’ calories.
What could have changed? I haven’t messed with my settings, changed weight/had a birthday etc. The change happened in early/mid Nov.
The previous 400-ish calorie active rate was a little low relative to other devices (but that’s standard Garmin). The low value means that, flat out hill climbing at threshold, I’m now doing about 15 active calories a mile. I weigh 15-stone. Even on a nice bike I should be at 25-30 active calories per mile.